The influence of technical and fundamental analysis on investment decision making for traders with theory of reasoned action

Authors

  • Rahmad Simanjuntak
  • Sonya Putri
  • Iskandar Muda

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34117/bjdv9n12-095

Keywords:

investor behavior, investment decision-making

Abstract

Financial behavior is intended to understand the behavior of investors in making investment decisions. Decision-making is a process to select the best alternative from available possible alternatives in a complex situation. Decision-making in investments is influenced by knowledge of fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and investor psychology in the capital market. This study aims to determine the behavior of investors in decision-making in investments in the capital market. There were eight informants interviewed in this study from various backgrounds, including brokers, university students, private employees, and investment managers. The result of this study showed the behavior of investors in decision-making in investments in . In making a decision, investors paid less attention to intrinsic value of stocks when stocks are in an uptrend condition and were overconfident in making decisions. Meanwhile, stock investor decisions were quite influenced by fundamental conditions, macroeconomics, and technical stock price fluctuation, so the behavior of individual stock investors in decision-making in  tends to be rational.

References

Agustin, P., & Mawardi, I. (2015). Perilaku Investor Muslim Dalam Bertransaksi Saham di Pasar Modal. Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan, 1(12).

Ardani, N., Murhadi, W. R., & Marciano, D. (2012). Investasi: Komparasi Strategi Buy and Hold dengan Pendekatan Teknikal. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan, 14(1), 32-44.

Arikunto, S. (2006). Prosedur penelitian pendekatan praktek. Jakarta: Rineka Cipta.

Benartzi, S., & Thaler, R. H. (2001). Naive diversification strategies in defined contribution saving plans. American economic review, 91(1), 79-98.

Bodie, Z., Kane, A., & Marcus, A. J. (2008). Investments (ed.).

Chandra, R. (2011). Analisis Pemilihan Saham oleh Investor Asing di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Bisnis & Birokrasi Journal, 17(2).

Clarysse, B., Wright, M., Bruneel, J., & Mahajan, A. (2014). Creating value in ecosystems: Crossing the chasm between knowledge and business ecosystems. Research Policy, 43(7),

Das, N. (2004). Regret from consumer action versus inaction: the effects of post- decision information, decisional responsibility and perceived source expertise.

Darmadji, T., & Hendy, M. F. (2006). Pasar Modal Di Indonesia: Pendidikan Tanya

Jawab. Edisi V Salemba Empat, Jakarta.

Dessler, G. (2009). Fundamentals of human resource management: Content, competencies, and applications. Prentice hall.

Djaali, H., & Muljono, P. (2008). Pengukuran dalam bidang pendidikan. Jakarta, Grasindo.

Fahmi, I. (2012). Manajemen Investasi: Teori dan Soal Jawab. Salemba Empat. Jakarta.

Francis, Jack C. 1998. Management of Investment, Second Edition, International Editions Financial Series, McGraw Hill, Singapore

Hachsien, I. (2003). Investasi syariah di pasar modal: Menggagas konsep dan praktek manejemen portofolio syariah. Jakarta.Gramedia.

Hadi, N. (2013). Acuan Teoritis dan Praktis Investasi di Instrumen Keuangan Pasar Modal. Yogyakarta: Graha Ilmu.

Hasibuan, D.R.F, Islamiati, H, (2020). The Behavioral Effects of Accounting Information. Turkish Online Journal of Qualitative Inquiry. 11(4). https://tojqi.net/index.php/journal/article/view/8202 .

Hardianto, D., & Suherman, S. (2009). Pengujian Fama-french Three-factor Model Di Indonesia. Jurnal keuangan dan Perbankan, 13(2), 198-208.

Hartono, J. (2014). Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Investasi (9rd ed). Yogyakarta:BPFE.

Hayes, S. K. (2010). Exploring investor decisions in a behavioral finance framework. Journal of Family and Consumer Sciences, 102(2), 56.

Haykal, M., Erlina, A. M., (2018, November). Discretionary Accrual in the Bullish and Bearish Time Period in the Indonesian Capital Market (Study of Indonesian Manufacturing Companies). In ICOFEB 2018: Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Finance Economics and Business, ICOFEB 2018, 12-13 November 2018, Lhokseumawe, Aceh, Indonesia (p. 29). European Alliance for Innovation. https://eudl.eu/proceedings/ICOFEB/2018?articles_page=5

Hong, H., & Stein, J. C. (1999). A unified theory of underreaction, momentum trading, and overreaction in asset markets. The Journal of finance, 54(6), 2143-2184.

Huberman, M., & Miles, M. B. (2002). The qualitative researcher's companion. Sage.

Hurlock, E. B.(1999). Psikologi Perkembangan:“Suatu Pendekatan Sepanjang Rentang Kehidupan”(Terjemahan Istiwidayanti & Soedjarno). Jakarta: Penerbit Erlangga.

Husnan, S. (2008). Manajemen Keuangan Buku Satu Edisi keempat. Yogyakarta: BPFE UGM.

Indonesia, R. (1995). UU No. 8 Tahun 1995 tentang Pasar Modal. Sekretariat Negara. Jakarta.

Iramani, R., & Bagus, D. (2008). Faktor-faktor penentu perilaku investor dalam transaksi saham di Surabaya. Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen, 6(3), 255-262.

Kirkpatrick II, C. D., & Dahlquist, J. A. (2010). Technical analysis: the complete resource for financial market technicians. FT press.

Lastari, J. I. (2004). Analisis Fundamental sebagai Dasar Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi terhadap Saham Emiten Perdagangan Retail Periode 2001 sampai 2003. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 2.

Lubis, A. F., Silangit, Z. A., Ismail, M., (2019). Factors that influence knowledge and understanding of fundamental and technical analysis for the wish of investment on money market and capital market. International Journal Scientific Technological Research. 8(9).1243-1249.

Lubis, A. N., Sadalia, I., Fachrudin, K. A., & Meliza, J. (2013). Perilaku Investor Keuangan. Perilaku Investor Keuangan.

Makori, D. M., & Jagongo, A. (2013). Working capital management and firm profitability: Empirical evidence from manufacturing and construction firms listed on Nairobi securities exchange, Kenya. International Journal of Accounting and Taxation, 1(1), 1-14.

Manik, J, Irawati, N (2021). Strategy of Fair Price Valuation with Fundamental Analysis of The Lq 45 Stock Index Case Study On The Indonesia Stock Exchange, 2009 – 2019. International Journal of Disaster Recovery and Business Continuity, 12(1), 1747–1758.

Moleong, L. J. (2007). Qualitative research methodology. Bandung, PT Remaja Rosdakarya, Year.

Munawir, S. (2004). Financial Statement Analysis.

Nasution, S. (2003). Metode Research (penelitian ilmiah). Jakarta: Bumi Aksara.

Naiborhu, J. P. F. (2014). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi, Keputusan Pendanaan, Kebijakan Deviden dan Modal Intelektual terhadap Nilai Perusahaan. Skripsi. Universitas Pembangunan Nasional “Veteran”. Yogyakarta.

Nofsinger, J. R. (2005). Social mood and financial economics. The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 6(3), 144-160.

Puspitaningtyas, Z. (2012). Relevansi nilai informasi akuntansi dan manfaatnya bagi investor. EKUITAS (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan), 16(2), 164-183.

Ricciardi, V., & Simon, H. K. (2000). What is behavioral finance?.

Salim, H. S., & Sutrisno, B. (2008). Hukum Investasi di Indonesia. Rajawali Pers, RajaGrafindo Persada.

Sekaran, U. (2011). Research Methods for business Edisi 1 and 2. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.

Semiawan, Conny R. 1986, Perspektif Baru Dalam Pendidikan Guru, Makalah Dalam Pertemuan Konsorsium Ilmu Pendidikan di Bandung.

Setiyanto, A. I., & Hadi, A. (2013). Analisis Pengaruh Fundamental Terhadap Harga Saham (Studi pada Perusahaan Sektor Properti di Asia Tenggara Tahun 2008- 2012). Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis.

Stiggins, R., & Chappuis, J. (2005). Using student-involved classroom assessment to close achievement gaps. Theory into practice, 44(1), 11-18.

Sukardi. (2003). Bimbingan dan Penyuluhan Belajar di Sekolah. Bandung : Usaha Nasional.

Sudrajat, A. (2015). Pengaruh ROE, DER, EPS, Reputasi Underwriter, dan Reputasi Auditor Terhadap Tingkat Underpricing Perusahaan Sektor Properti dan Real Estate yang Melakukan IPO DI BEI Tahun 2007-2015 (Doctoral dissertation, Universitas Widyatama).

Tandelilin, Eduardus. 2017. Portofolio dan Investasi : Teori dan Aplikasi. Yogyakarta: Kanisius. Halaman 102- 104.

Tapia, W., & Yermo, J. (2007). Implications of behavioural economics for mandatory individual account pension systems.

Wafirotin, K. Z., & Marsiwi, D. (2016). Persepsi Keuntungan Menurut Pedagang Kakilima di Ponorogo. Ekuilibrium: Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi, 10(1), 24-36.

Wartaekonomi.co . 2018. OJK: Minat Investasi Masyarakat Meningkat Tersedia

Wibisono, O. P. (2013). Pengaruh Kompetensi dan Kepercayaan Diri Investor Terhadap Perilaku Perdagangan Saham. Journal of Business & Banking, 3(1), 47-56.

Wijiyanti, I., Anastasia, N., & Gunawan, Y. W. (2005). Analisis faktor fundamental dan risiko sistematik terhadap harga saham properti di BEJ. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan, 5(2), 123-132.

Yuliana, I. (2010). Investasi Produk Keuangan Syariah. Malang: UIN-MALIKI PRESS (Anggota IKAPI).

Downloads

Published

2023-12-26

How to Cite

Simanjuntak, R., Putri, S., & Muda, I. (2023). The influence of technical and fundamental analysis on investment decision making for traders with theory of reasoned action. Brazilian Journal of Development, 9(12), 31972–31986. https://doi.org/10.34117/bjdv9n12-095

Issue

Section

Original Papers