Models for recurring events in measuring the influence of mortality among bees within the same cage
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.34188/bjaerv8n1-143Palavras-chave:
africanized bee, cox proportional models, PWP model, counting processResumo
Survival studies on Africanized bees seldom account for mortality dependence within experimental units, a key aspect due to their hygienic behavior. This study aimed to assess variations of the Cox model for multiple events in an oral toxicity bioassay with Africanized bees. Cylindrical cages with 10 bees each were kept at 28ºC ± 2, RH 70% ± 10, and a 12-hour photoperiod, exposed to glyphosate solutions (0.0 to 10g/100 mL of 50% sucrose), with death times recorded. The classic Cox model and variants (AG, LWA, GT-UR, PWP-CP, PWP-GT, TT-R) were evaluated using Wald, likelihood ratio, Logrank, and AIC tests, alongside Schoenfeld, Martingale, and Deviance residuals to check proportional hazards. Results showed that stratified models, accounting for mortality dependence within cages, outperformed non-stratified ones, with the PWP-CP (Counting Process) model providing the best fit. In conclusion, the PWP-CP model effectively captures the impact of cumulative mortality, offering a reliable approach for survival analysis of Africanized bees under toxic exposure.
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